GORDON REPORT
Increasing Labor Market Challenges
Employment volatility and chaos
continues across all business sectors. This trend will continue into the
foreseeable future due to uncertainty about how tariffs and other shifts in
government policies will influence the economy.
Employers have pulled back some
hiring and laid off some workers. However, the lack of sufficient
educated/skilled labor persists. A National Federation of Independent Business
survey (7/23/25) found that 33 percent of businesses reported job openings they
could not fill. Twenty-nine percent had openings for skilled labor.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics
(BLS) JOLTS June release reported that about 500K manufacturing jobs, 1.1M
professional and business service jobs and over 1.6M health-care positions were
vacant.
The most recent BLS employment
report (8/1/25) signaled employment troubles due to downward revisions in the
May and June employment numbers. The President responded by firing the BLS
Commissioner. He claimed, without any proof, that the numbers are being
politically manipulated. The BLS has experienced difficulties in gathering data
due in some part to deportations and tariff shifts, but this action suggests
that shooting the messenger will solve them.
This move and the potential
politicalization of future BLS reports will further erode trust in U.S.
government statistics. Without impartial, dependable data on wages, inflation,
and other aspects of the U.S. economy, policymakers, investors, and businesses
both domestic and foreign will find decision-making more difficult. How can
businesses hire or invest if because of uncertain tariffs and economic data,
they don’t know what the costs of goods or services will be, or from which
sources they will be able to buy at competitive prices?
On another important job-related
front, a recent Korn Ferry survey (7/29/25) on AI reported that about 80
percent of U.S. companies said that this technology is a top priority in their
current business strategy.
Rather than just focusing on using
AI for labor cutbacks, firms also need to concentrate on upskilling their
workers to create strong human-AI partnerships that will better spur innovation
and growth. Every business must carefully consider what skills, roles and
functions AI can replace and which ones it should not.
AI can synthesize large amounts of
data, but the quality and relevance of the data is crucial. People, therefore,
need to grow their abilities to analyze and evaluate both information sources
and AI output. Contrary to what AI promoters claim, human possession of these
skills will never become irrelevant and will play a vital role in the growth
and prosperity of businesses and organizations and the overall health of the
U.S. economy.
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